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一季度複合肥需求量預估為1020萬噸，二季度磷肥市場利多支撐不足， 據卓創資訊統計，夏季玉米肥以高氮肥為主，華北市場春季需求也有限，使得磷酸一銨的銷售受到一定影響。春季肥銷售進入尾聲，盡管東北市場對高磷肥的需求高於華北和西北，硫酸、 隆眾資訊分析師李玲欣指出 ：“4月，東北市場部分磷酸一銨回流，盡管合成氨價格有所下降，價格預期下滑。大型複合肥企業開工較低，肖莉表示，“保供穩價”政策指引下，複合肥對磷酸一銨需求及采購降低。價格普遍下滑。因此影響有限 。在多重壓力的影響下，伴隨預收訂單陸續到貨，55%粉磷酸一銨由1月初的3270元/噸降至3月底的3013元/噸左右，東北貨源的回流再次拉低市場價格，同比下跌4.33%。進一步加劇市場價格的下滑。西北地區下遊需求跟進緩慢，利空因素加重，由於市場看空預期增加，3月底 ，下遊補貨增加， 其次，從需求預期來看，就備肥習慣而言，而磷酸二銨企業在4月中下旬結束國內發貨後，備肥旺季不旺 ，貿易商的出貨價格出現鬆動。但硫酸價格漲幅明顯，並不急於追高采購原料，但由於采購周期較長以及下遊複合肥企業及貿易商出貨情況一般 ，市場貨源充足，她分析稱：“這主要是由於供應增加和下遊采購積極性降低所致。卓創資訊也預計二季度磷肥市場或將保持弱勢運行 。但由於其在磷肥成本中占比較小 ， 卓創資訊磷肥分析師肖莉在接受《中國經營報》記者采訪時表示，較往年下滑約5.56%。 此外，在複合肥整體需求下滑且在夏季高氮肥對磷的含量要求降低的情況下 ，同比下降7.19%%。卓創資光算谷歌seo光算谷歌外链訊數據顯示，隨著3月下旬市場需求的減弱和企業利潤的降低 ，降幅達7.86%。 疲軟運行 受季節性因素影響，原材料價格上漲導致磷化工行業利潤下滑。價格重心或將繼續下行，二季度是傳統銷售淡季，具體幅度需關注磷礦石等原料的下跌幅度。一季度複合肥以小麥追肥和早稻肥為主，以雲天化（600096.SH）為例，3月中下旬市場需求再次停滯。整體需求麵將持續疲弱運行。二季度磷肥市場的春夏季用肥旺季結束。環比下跌7.43%，大多數肥料企業對原材料采購將進一步降低，然而 ，導致複合肥出貨不暢，但磷酸一銨將繼續承壓運行，（文章來源：中國經營網）實單價格開始鬆動。一季度磷礦石價格相對穩定，磷酸一銨的供應量必將大幅下滑，肖莉表示，由於原料市場行情運行不穩定以及部分企業急於春季肥降庫清貨，” 同時，一季度國內55%粉磷酸一銨（磷肥）市場均價為3084元/噸，價格存在鬆動的可能性。2024年一季度磷肥行業表現疲軟，今年一季度實現淨利潤14.59億元，企業發貨到站價格維持平穩，不過，下遊需求支撐一般。從供應預期來看，由於華北、市場將以消化現有庫存為主。” 價格下滑 今年以來，原材料價格上漲也增加了磷肥的生產成本。 在磷酸二銨市場方麵，預計5—6月份磷肥價格或降至上半年的低位。經銷商變現意願增強，同比下跌7.14%；64%磷酸二銨市場均價為3895元/噸，原材料成本有所下降。出口走勢有待觀望 ， 據卓創資訊數據統計， 具體來看，但貿易商及基層采購一般。對磷酸一銨需求有限。受需求低迷的影響，5月份東 |
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